Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.6%
Tamworth
19.3%
Draw
70.1%
Barnet
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Tamworth
vs
2.25
Barnet
Markets
BTTS48.8%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.3%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.2%
1-1
9.2%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
1-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).