Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.1%
Ibiza
26.6%
Draw
38.4%
Fuenlabrada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Ibiza
vs
1.30
Fuenlabrada
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.524.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
0-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).