Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.1%
Mantova
28.8%
Draw
31.1%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Mantova
vs
1.20
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS53.8%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).