Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Setubal
17.1%
Draw
73.6%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.58
Setubal
vs
2.13
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.0%
0-1
14.5%
0-3
10.7%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
7.9%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-0
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-2
2.6%
2-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).