Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Barrow
25.6%
Draw
46.5%
Crewe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Barrow
vs
1.42
Crewe
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.8%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.7%
0-0
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).