Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.2%
Ad. Demirspor
28.3%
Draw
46.4%
Kasımpaşa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Ad. Demirspor
vs
1.81
Kasımpaşa
Markets
BTTS63.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.560.2%
Over 3.537.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).