Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Plymouth
24.4%
Draw
27.4%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Plymouth
vs
1.01
Exeter
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
11.5%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).