Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.3%
Sp Braga
13.2%
Draw
5.5%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Sp Braga
vs
0.46
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
16.3%
1-0
13.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
1-1
5.9%
0-0
5.2%
5-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
2.8%
5-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).