Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.5%
Dunkerque
16.0%
Draw
10.5%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.25
Dunkerque
vs
0.69
Niort
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.6%
3-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).