Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.8%
Le Havre
28.7%
Draw
44.6%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.83
Le Havre
vs
1.18
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.587.3%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.5%
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.4%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).