Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.4%
Sociedad
30.3%
Draw
23.3%
Getafe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Sociedad
vs
0.80
Getafe
Markets
BTTS39.7%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).