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AHT: 12CSV

27 Sept 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Albacete
27.9%
Draw
33.8%
La Coruna

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Albacete

vs
1.12

La Coruna

Markets

BTTS47.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.541.0%
Over 3.520.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
12.0%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).