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15 Aug 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.6%
Stockport
22.7%
Draw
22.7%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Stockport

vs
1.02

Bradford

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
2-2
5.0%
0-2
3.3%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).