Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Kidderminster
28.9%
Draw
25.0%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Kidderminster
vs
0.98
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-1
4.3%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).