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AHT: 01CSV

26 Apr 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Barnsley
29.9%
Draw
35.2%
Blackpool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.19

Barnsley

vs
1.20

Blackpool

Markets

BTTS49.8%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
0-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).