Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.3%
Leiston
11.9%
Draw
79.8%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Leiston
vs
3.08
Bury
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.576.4%
Over 3.556.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
8.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
6.3%
0-1
5.7%
1-1
5.0%
0-5
4.1%
1-5
3.9%
2-3
3.9%
2-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).