Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.7%
Caen
27.2%
Draw
31.2%
Valenciennes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Caen
vs
0.97
Valenciennes
Markets
BTTS42.0%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
0-1
12.4%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).