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19 Oct 2021 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.8%
Guiseley
19.9%
Draw
17.4%
Brackley Town

Expected Goals (xG)

2.07

Guiseley

vs
0.98

Brackley Town

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.536.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.3%
3-0
7.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
0-0
4.4%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).