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AHT: 02CSV

15 Feb 2026 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.6%
Holstein Kiel
31.0%
Draw
38.4%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Holstein Kiel

vs
1.22

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).