Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.1%
Sochaux
23.8%
Draw
21.1%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Sochaux
vs
0.82
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.0%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
2-0
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.2%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).