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26 Aug 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Peterhead
31.0%
Draw
39.0%
Spartans

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Peterhead

vs
1.37

Spartans

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.525.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).