Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Swansea
29.8%
Draw
28.2%
Birmingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Swansea
vs
1.04
Birmingham
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.4%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).