Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Venezia
17.2%
Draw
8.1%
Carrarese
Expected Goals (xG)
2.42
Venezia
vs
0.70
Carrarese
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
3-0
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.4%
2-2
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).