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AHT: 00CSV

10 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.7%
Yeovil
33.1%
Draw
33.2%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Yeovil

vs
1.00

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS41.1%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).