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28 Feb 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.3%
Lokomotiv Moskva
17.9%
Draw
8.8%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

2.43

Lokomotiv Moskva

vs
0.76

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS49.4%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
6.0%
0-0
5.0%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
5-0
2.9%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).