Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.9%
Lecce
30.8%
Draw
29.4%
Empoli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Lecce
vs
0.87
Empoli
Markets
BTTS37.9%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.6%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.6%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).