Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.5%
Vizela
24.5%
Draw
33.0%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Vizela
vs
1.26
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).