Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Alanyaspor
32.0%
Draw
20.7%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Alanyaspor
vs
0.96
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.3%
0-0
11.5%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).