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AHT: 03CSV

20 May 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
Cremonese
27.8%
Draw
50.6%
Bologna

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Cremonese

vs
1.34

Bologna

Markets

BTTS39.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.562.0%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.5%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
11.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).