Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.9%
Ath Madrid
20.4%
Draw
10.7%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.99
Ath Madrid
vs
0.64
Leganes
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-0
4.7%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.0%
1-2
2.9%
2-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).