Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.9%
Bristol City
25.8%
Draw
28.3%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Bristol City
vs
1.29
Leicester
Markets
BTTS59.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).