Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Cosenza
31.1%
Draw
40.1%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Cosenza
vs
1.24
Spal
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).