Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.7%
Vallecano
27.6%
Draw
24.6%
Espanol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Vallecano
vs
0.95
Espanol
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.3%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).