Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.2%
Gil Vicente
19.8%
Draw
12.0%
Estrela
Expected Goals (xG)
2.17
Gil Vicente
vs
0.80
Estrela
Markets
BTTS49.4%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.557.0%
Over 3.534.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.7%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
4-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).