⚽ FootballData
2 – 4
AHT: 02

27 Oct 2025 · 16:30

Sochi

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
72.1%
Akhmat Grozny
17.8%
Draw
10.1%
Sochi

Expected Goals (xG)

2.52

Akhmat Grozny

vs
0.88

Sochi

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.9%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
1-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).