Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.3%
Deportivo Alavés
27.6%
Draw
32.1%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Deportivo Alavés
vs
1.15
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
0-1
9.4%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).