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DHT: 10CSV

31 Aug 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.1%
Accrington
29.6%
Draw
35.3%
Colchester

Expected Goals (xG)

1.01

Accrington

vs
1.01

Colchester

Markets

BTTS39.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.559.3%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.0%
1-0
13.9%
1-1
13.0%
0-0
12.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-1
6.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
0-3
2.3%
3-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).