Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.1%
Valencia
16.0%
Draw
7.8%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Valencia
vs
0.64
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS43.1%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.580.8%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.536.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
11.3%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-0
3.2%
0-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).