Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Hull
26.0%
Draw
22.3%
Luton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Hull
vs
1.04
Luton
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
0-1
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).