Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.5%
Maidstone
25.3%
Draw
53.2%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Maidstone
vs
1.76
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
0-1
9.7%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
5.8%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-2
5.1%
2-0
3.3%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).