Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.9%
Boston Utd
23.4%
Draw
32.7%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Boston Utd
vs
1.64
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS69.5%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
3-2
4.5%
1-3
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).