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06 Nov 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.8%
Guingamp
21.3%
Draw
53.9%
Auxerre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Guingamp

vs
1.82

Auxerre

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
10.3%
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
0-3
5.2%
0-0
4.3%
2-0
3.4%
2-3
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).