Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.6%
Heidenheim
20.7%
Draw
15.7%
Dresden
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Heidenheim
vs
1.06
Dresden
Markets
BTTS59.4%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.542.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
3-0
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
3-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).