Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.6%
Gateshead
10.0%
Draw
85.4%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Gateshead
vs
3.37
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.592.1%
Over 2.578.1%
Over 3.559.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
10.2%
0-2
9.1%
0-4
8.6%
1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
1-4
6.6%
0-5
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
1-1
4.5%
1-5
4.4%
2-3
3.0%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).