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25 Jan 2026 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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56.4%
St. Gallen
24.1%
Draw
19.5%
Servette

Expected Goals (xG)

2.09

St. Gallen

vs
1.19

Servette

Markets

BTTS62.7%
Over 0.594.6%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.563.7%
Over 3.541.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-1
3.6%
4-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).