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29 Feb 2020 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.3%
Fulham
17.7%
Draw
10.0%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

2.39

Fulham

vs
0.79

Preston

Markets

BTTS50.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.8%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-0
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).