Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.6%
Aldershot
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Aldershot
vs
1.55
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS69.0%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.547.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
1-2
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
1-0
5.0%
3-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
0-1
3.7%
0-0
3.6%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).