Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.1%
Spartak Moskva
27.5%
Draw
25.5%
CSKA Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Spartak Moskva
vs
1.14
CSKA Moskva
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).