Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.2%
Venezia
27.4%
Draw
43.3%
Fiorentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Venezia
vs
1.30
Fiorentina
Markets
BTTS46.3%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.0%
1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).