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AHT: 00CSV

26 Nov 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
28.4%
Draw
48.5%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Fortuna Dusseldorf

vs
1.50

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.5%
0-1
11.6%
0-0
9.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).